The debate over power transfer in Karnataka is intensifying as Chief Minister Siddaramaiah firmly asserts that he will complete his full term, despite rumours that Deputy Chief Minister D K Shivakumar may take over in November—a move popularly dubbed the ‘November Revolution’ in state political circles.

Siddaramaiah’s supporters have echoed his statement repeatedly, while Shivakumar, who also serves as KPCC President, has cautioned party members against discussing leadership change. Notices have been issued to those who publicly favored Shivakumar, including Kunigal MLA Dr. Ranganath, who had suggested that Shivakumar could become Chief Minister during the current term.

Even warnings from AICC General Secretary Randeep Singh Surjewala against issuing media statements on the issue failed to curb the rhetoric from Siddaramaiah’s camp. Meanwhile, a significant boost for Siddaramaiah came from Lingayat Mutt seers, with over 301 smaller mutts backing him to remain Chief Minister.

The controversy began during the Dasara celebrations, when Siddaramaiah declared that he would continue as CM for the full term. Housing Minister B Z Zameer Ahmed Khan later clarified that the “November Revolution” was mere media speculation and that Siddaramaiah would reshuffle the cabinet but remain in office. Forest Minister Eshwar Khandre and Economic Advisor Basavaraj Rayaraddy reinforced that the party had no plans for leadership change. Rayaraddy noted, “Legislators voted Siddaramaiah as Chief Minister for five years. Just because some people want D K Shivakumar to become Chief Minister, it cannot be done.”

Siddaramaiah has also strengthened his political position by courting the Lingayat community, historically aligned with BJP, by supporting the movement for a separate “Lingayat Religion” and pushing for renaming the Bengaluru Metro to Basava Metro—moves that have won the backing of several smaller Lingayat groups.

The combined support from religious seers and community groups has reportedly shaken Shivakumar’s confidence, leaving him dependent on the Congress high command for any potential advancement. Political analysts note that Siddaramaiah’s careful strategizing and community alliances may have effectively neutralized Shivakumar’s chances of a November leadership change, at least for now.